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智能电网环境中的人工智能安全威胁分析

Analysis of Artificial Intelligence Security Threats in Smart Grid Environment

  • 摘要: 随着信息化的深入推进,人工智能技术已展现出推动能源革命与电网智能化的潜力,尤其在负荷预测、故障诊断、能源调度等核心场景中成为新型电力系统建设的关键引擎。然而,其引发的安全威胁呈现技术性与非技术性交织特征,须构建多维风险分析框架:技术性威胁主要源于算法内生脆弱性,包括长短期记忆网络(long short-term memory, LSTM)负荷预测模型的数据投毒攻击、图神经网络(graph neural network, GNN)电网拓扑建模的对抗样本干扰等问题,例如攻击者利用生成式AI伪造与真实负荷曲线相似度达93%的虚假数据,导致预测误差率扩大2.8倍;非技术性威胁则表现为社会工程与供应链渗透等外部攻击,如通过深度伪造技术模仿调度员语音指令,或利用开源AI框架漏洞植入后门模型。本研究针对上述两类威胁提出电力系统全生命周期防护架构。

     

    Abstract: With the in-depth advancement of informatization, artificial intelligence(AI) technology has demonstrated its potential to drive the energy revolution and the intelligentization of power grids, especially in core scenarios such as load forecasting, fault diagnosis, and energy dispatching, becoming a key engine for the construction of new power systems. However, the security threats it triggers exhibit an intertwined nature of technical and non-technical characteristics, necessitating the establishment of a multi-dimensional risk analysis framework. Technical threats mainly stem from the inherent vulnerabilities of algorithms, including data poisoning attacks on long short-term memory (LSTM) load forecasting models and adversarial sample interference in graph neural network (GNN) grid topology modeling. For instance, attackers can use generative AI to forge false data with a similarity of 93% to real load curves, causing the prediction error rate to increase by 2.8 times. Non-technical threats are manifested as external attacks such as social engineering and supply chain infiltration, for example imitating dispatchers' voice instructions through deepfake technology or implanting backdoor models by exploiting vulnerabilities in open-source AI frameworks. This article proposes a full life-cycle protection architecture for power systems in response to the above two types of threats.

     

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