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新一代机器学习的数理基础问题

Mathematical Foundations of Next-Generation Machine Learning

  • 摘要: 当前,以深度学习、大模型为代表的机器学习方法与技术蓬勃发展,在计算机视觉、自然语言处理等诸多应用领域取得了举世瞩目的应用成效。然而,机器学习技术的高速发展与数理基础理论的相对滞后形成显著反差,传统机器学习的逼近理论、统计学习、优化理论等难以完备解释大模型表现出的涌现、幻觉、鲁棒性、脆弱性等关键现象,人工智能面临工程先行、理论滞后的发展瓶颈。本文基于机器学习发展历程与理论演进脉络,系统梳理新一代机器学习面临的核心数理基础问题,围绕大模型能力上限、可靠边界、架构机理等关键科学问题展开分析,并尝试提出面向下一代机器学习理论体系的研究方向与发展建议,为推动人工智能从经验驱动走向理论驱动、从工程化走向科学化提供理论支撑。

     

    Abstract: At present, machine learning methods and technologies represented by deep learning and large-scale models have experienced rapid and vigorous development, achieving remarkable success across a wide range of application domains such as computer vision and natural language processing. However, a striking contrast has emerged between the rapid advancement of machine learning technologies and the relatively lagging development of their mathematical foundations. Traditional theoretical frameworks—including approximation theory, statistical learning theory, and optimization theory—are insufficient to fully explain key phenomena observed in large models, such as emergence, hallucination, robustness, and vulnerability. As a result, artificial intelligence is currently facing a developmental bottleneck characterized by engineering progress outpacing theoretical understanding. This article, grounded in the historical evolution of machine learning and its theoretical development, systematically reviews the core mathematical challenges faced by next-generation machine learning. It focuses on fundamental scientific questions, including the upper limits of model capability, reliability boundaries, and underlying architectural mechanisms. Furthermore, it attempts to propose research directions and development strategies toward a new theoretical framework for next-generation machine learning, with the aim of providing theoretical support for the transition of artificial intelligence from empirically driven approaches to theory-driven paradigms, and from engineering practice to scientific discipline.

     

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